Tata Elxsi share price target cut 21% by Morgan Stanley to factor in slower growth

Tata Elxsi share price target cut 21% by Morgan Stanley to factor in slower growth


Shares of Tata Elxsi Ltd. will be in focus on Wednesday, April 22, after the engineering research and development firm reported its earnings for the fourth quarter of FY26.

Net profit more than doubled to ₹220 crore, compared with ₹109 crore in Q3FY26, which had been impacted by an exceptional loss of ₹95.7 crore linked to labour code changes. The recovery also marks a break from a five-quarter streak of profit declines.

The improvement was supported by growth in the company’s transportation and media segments, along with large deal wins and strong client additions across key verticals.

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However, revenue growth remained softer than estimates. Constant currency revenue rose 0.9%, below expectations of 1.5%. For the full year, constant currency revenue declined 5.5%.

 

Q2FY25

Q3FY25

Q4FY25

Q1FY26

Q2FY26

Q3FY26

Q4FY26

Re Rev

955.08

939.17

908.3

892.1

918

953.5

993.8

Rev QoQ %

3.1%

-1.7%

-3.3%

-1.8%

2.9%

3.9%

4.2%

Rev YOY %

8.3%

2.7%

0.3%

-3.7%

-3.9%

1.5%

9.4%

 

 

 

 

 

EBITDA%

27.9%

26.3%

22.90%

20.90%

21.05%

23.30%

24.60%

PAT

229.43

199

172.4

144.36

154.8

109

220.35

Margins, on the other hand, came in stronger than expected, with EBIT margin at 22.3%, ahead of the estimated 21.5–22% range.

Recovery hopes intact, but outlook moderated

Brokerage firm Morgan Stanley has an ‘Underweight’ rating on Tata Elxsi and has cut its price target by 21% to ₹4,200 from ₹5,350 earlier. The brokerage said Q4 performance missed its estimates, although margins came in ahead of consensus.

Management has kept hopes of a recovery alive for FY27 but has moderated its growth expectations.

The company reported constant currency revenue growth of 0.9% QoQ in Q4FY26, below the estimated 1.5%, largely due to weakness in the healthcare segment.

EBIT missed Morgan Stanley’s estimates by 3.4% but beat consensus by 4%, while net income came in ahead of both estimates, supported by a lower tax rate.

Morgan Stanley now expects 6.9% revenue growth in constant currency terms for FY27, down from its earlier forecast of 10.4%.

The company also announced a dividend of ₹75 per share.

Shares of Tata Elxsi ended 3.17% higher on Tuesday at ₹4,660, taking gains for the year so far to around 11%.



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