Speaking on the macro outlook, Tawakley said, “The thing to focus on is, do we think this is a temporary move… my view is it’s temporary,” indicating that the current spike may not alter long-term economic fundamentals.
For the full interview, watch the accompanying video
He suggested that policymakers should manage the shock through reserves and calibrated price transmission. “We should transmit only as much as can be absorbed without hurting economic output,” he said, adding that a limited fuel price increase may be manageable without affecting growth.
Tawakley noted that India’s economic fundamentals remain stable over a one-year horizon, provided the disruption remains short-lived. He said the broader environment continues to support demand and capacity.
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From an investment perspective, he advised focusing on companies with strong balance sheets that can withstand near-term volatility. He also maintained a preference for large-cap stocks over small and mid-caps, citing valuation concerns in the latter.
On sectors, Tawakley highlighted domestic cyclicals such as banks, autos and cement as areas of interest, while advising caution on segments like personal lending and fast-moving consumer goods (FMCG) due to potential earnings pressure.
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