UBS says FII inflows may not pick up soon; financials, defence and consumption are top themes

CEAT shares downgraded, target cut on cost pressures post Q4


foreign investors continue to track India and holdings remain sizable at $700-800 billion, but fresh inflows are unlikely in the near term, according to Gautam Chhaochharia, Head of Global Markets at UBS..

“For the next three to six months, doesn’t look like they’re going to come back in a hurry,” he said, adding that overseas investors are currently more focused on artificial intelligence (AI), semiconductor and capital goods themes in other markets.

He is positive on financials, defence, consumption, industrials, and energy themes.

“Financials still look interesting. Many stocks have attractive valuations,” he said, adding that the preference is towards private and non-bank lenders.

There are also opportunities emerging in select midcap and smallcap names backed by earnings growth.

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He also said market participants are watching whether recent remarks from Prime Minister Narendra Modi on gold consumption could signal future policy measures if geopolitical stress persists. Chhaochharia said fuel price increases appear more likely in the current environment, while broader measures would depend on how long West Asia tensions continue.

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