REC shares fall 5% after at least two analyst downgrades on weak Q4 results

REC shares fall 5% after at least two analyst downgrades on weak Q4 results


Shares of REC Ltd. are trading nearly 5% lower on April 29, extending losses for a second straight session, after the company reported a mixed March quarter performance.

While asset quality improved sharply, profitability fell short of expectations due to higher provisioning, elevated operating expenses and subdued loan growth.

The reaction has also been weighed down by a series of brokerage downgrades.

DAM Capital has cut its rating on the stock to ‘Neutral’ from ‘Buy’ and revised its price target to ₹400. Phillip Securities has also downgraded the stock to ‘Neutral’, lowering its target to ₹420 from ₹440.

In contrast, Macquarie has maintained an ‘Outperform’ rating with a price target of ₹455, despite flagging pressure on earnings.

The miss on profit was largely driven by a sharp rise in credit costs, which came in at 39 basis points against much lower expectations, primarily due to prudent provisioning.

This also led to an increase in the stage 1 provision coverage ratio. Loan growth remained muted at 3% year-on-year, with prepayments and resolutions weighing on overall assets under management and disbursements staying soft.

For the quarter, operating profit declined 19.4% year-on-year, while net profit dropped 20.6% and fell 16.8% sequentially. Margins narrowed to 3.5% from 4.4% a year ago.

On the asset quality front, gross and net NPAs improved to 0.24% and 0.12%, respectively, aided by reductions in stressed assets, including write-offs and resolution gains such as the Sinnar Thermal account.

Despite the near-term pressure, Street sentiment remains largely constructive, with 14 of the 15 analysts tracking the stock maintaining a ‘Buy’ rating and only one recommending ‘Sell’.

The stock was last trading at ₹361.70, down 3.75% on the day, and has corrected sharply from its peak, falling about 45% from its all-time high of ₹654.



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