The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) is widely expected to leave interest rates unchanged, maintaining the federal funds target range at 3.50%–3.75%. Despite signs of slowing economic momentum, persistent inflation remains a key concern, making an immediate rate cut unlikely.
Kevin Warsh’s debut
Today’s announcement marks Warsh’s first major public appearance as Federal Reserve Chair, adding an extra layer of anticipation for investors and economists alike.
While markets do not expect any change in rates, analysts believe Warsh’s comments during the post-meeting press conference could offer important clues about the Fed’s future policy direction.
“We expect the press conference to be pivotal,” said Jonathan Pingle, economist at UBS. “This will be Kevin Warsh’s first public appearance as Chair. We do not really know what his policy views are.”
Many economists expect Warsh to strike a cautious and balanced tone as he takes charge during a challenging period marked by elevated inflation, slowing growth, and global uncertainty.
Will the Fed cut rates?
Most experts believe a rate cut is not on the table today. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, markets are pricing in a 99.6% probability that the Fed will keep rates unchanged.
However, some economists see the next move eventually being a rate cut rather than a hike.
William Lee, Chief Economist and Managing Director at Global Economic Advisors, argues that the US economy is weaker than headline data suggests. He points to slowing underlying job growth and inflation pressures driven largely by temporary supply disruptions rather than excessive consumer demand.
Also Read: A rate pause under Fed’s new chief Kevin Warsh may still feel hawkish – here’s why
Investors will therefore be listening carefully for any hints about when the Fed might begin easing policy later this year.
When and where to watch June Fed policy decision today
The Federal Reserve will release its policy statement at 2:00 PM ET on June 17 (11:30 PM IST).
Kevin Warsh’s press conference will begin at 2:30 PM ET (12:00 AM IST on June 18), where markets will closely monitor his remarks on inflation, economic growth, employment conditions, and the path of interest rates.
CNBC-TV18’s readers can track all the latest updates on the website. Apart from the website, here are the other links to watch the presser.
